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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 38.4%
Draw 23.8%
San Jose Earthquakes 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
24.3%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
24.9%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
27.3%
54.5%
Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). San Jose will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Pantemis J. (G) 5. Bye B. 20. Surman F. (C) 4. Miller K. 27. Fory J. 17. Bassett C. 80. Ortiz J. 99. Velde K. 10. Da Costa D. 11. Antony 19. Kelsy K.
42. Daniel (G) 28. Kikanovic B. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 2. Ricketts J. 14. Vieira R. (C) 34. Leroux B. 7. Bouda O. 20. Fernandez N. 16. Skahan J. 19. Judd P.
Substitutes
28. Aravena A. 6. Bonetig A. 88. Guerra G. 16. Jura S. 7. Lassiter A. 9. Mora F. 29. Mosquera J. 25. Muse T. (G) 23. Smith I.
32. Adimabua N. 25. Floriani M. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 6. Harkes I. 17. Jasinski J. 79. Johnson D. 3. Marie P. 31. Montali F. (G) 4. Romney D.
Coaches
Neville P.
Arena B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Judd P. ⚽, Skahan J. (A),
12', 0 - 2, Judd P. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
18', 1 - 2, Antony ⚽, Da Costa D. (A),
24', 1 - 3, Munie D. ⚽, Skahan J. (A),
41', Roberts R. 🟨,
45+2', Kikanovic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kikanovic B. ↓, Jasinski J. ↑,
46', Fernandez N. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
51', Miller K. 🟨,
56', Miller K. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
63', Judd P. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
70', Skahan J. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
70', Bye B. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
70', Ortiz J. ↓, Aravena A. ↑,
73', Vieira R. 🟨,
82', Ricketts J. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
83', Antony ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
83', Kelsy K. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
85', 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2.
Portland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Jose has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
San Jose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Portland: Caicedo J.
(Injury)
Fernandez O.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Edwards E.
(Injury)
Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tsakiris N.
(Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
Werner T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Portland: McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
Miller K.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:22. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.2:0.7).
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Pantemis J. (G) 
Bye B. 
Surman F. (C) 
Fory J. 
Ortiz J. 
Velde K. 
Da Costa D. 
Antony 
Kelsy K. 
Vieira R. (C) 
Bouda O. 
Aravena A. 
Bonetig A. 
Lassiter A. 
Adimabua N. 
Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 
Johnson D. 
Marie P. 
Neville P. 
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