The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes 2 30.5%
Draw 25.6%
Austin II 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
26.7%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
26.3%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austin II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes 2 than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-5%)
San Jose Earthquakes 2 - Austin II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Crockford N. (G) 73. Heisner J. 66. Cano A. (C) 25. Floriani M. 17. Jasinski J. 38. Mendoza E. 35. Rajagopal R. 52. Donnery J. 90. Bohane Z. 29. Spivey K. 70. Allen T.
13. Lauta E. (G) 14. Ciesla D. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 18. Cayelli P. 6. Barro D. (C) 24. Hot K. 7. Abarca D. 8. Gonzalez A. 21. Dobrijevic S. 22. Sall I.
Substitutes
89. Avalos M. (G) 88. Baptista D. 97. Boyce W. 58. Bracken Serra G. 71. Dossmann N. 74. Kwende M. 77. Spivey J. 50. Torres J.
48. Ayala C. 20. Badawiya M. 9. Danciutiu V. 3. Dobruna D. 1. Farrar C. (G) 37. Feliciano L. 11. Gryczewski P. 45. Klinger R. 16. Ruszel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Dobrijevic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Bery J. ↓, Dobruna D. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Cano A. ⚽, Mendoza E. (A),
64', Sall I. ↓, Feliciano L. ↑,
64', Hot K. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
69', Cano A. 🟨,
75', Rajagopal R. ↓, Bracken Serra G. ↑,
75', Donnery J. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
76', Abarca D. ↓, Badawiya M. ↑,
76', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ayala C. ↑,
77', Ruszel M. 🟨,
82', Mendoza E. ↓, Spivey J. ↑,
89', Heisner J. ↓, Kwende M. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Jasinski J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Ayala C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Baptista D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sall I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bracken Serra G. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Barro D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Spivey K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dobruna D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Bohane Z. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Feliciano L. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Kwende M. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Watt E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
San Jose 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Jose 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, San Jose 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Austin II - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Crockford N. (G) 
Cano A. (C) 
Donnery J. 
Ciesla D. 
Bery J. 
Barro D. (C) 
Gonzalez A. 
Sall I. 
Danciutiu V. 
Dobruna D. 
Farrar C. (G) 
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