The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ventura County 33.3%
Draw 24.6%
San Jose Earthquakes 2 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
25.6%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
25.2%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
San Jose Earthquakes 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Ventura County - San Jose Earthquakes 2 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Ventura County (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ventura County (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (G) 80. Djieze J. 94. McLean M. 73. Martinez E. 50. Dalgado R. 45. Garcia V. 88. Vanney M. 68. Muller L. 90. Phan B. 95. Preston E. 57. Placias J.
22. Crockford N. (G) 66. Cano A. (C) 71. Dossmann N. 73. Heisner J. 70. Allen T. 38. Mendoza E. 74. Kwende M. 35. Rajagopal R. 29. Spivey K. 52. Donnery J. 90. Bohane Z.
Substitutes
75. Medina A. 49. Vanney D. 83. Villatoro A. 91. Walker W.
96. Avalos M. (G) 97. Boyce W. 58. Bracken Serra G. 99. de Flores S. 76. Perez N. 77. Spivey J. 50. Torres J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Spivey K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Preston E. ⚽, Muller L. (A),
65', Allen T. ↓, Spivey J. ↑,
65', Spivey K. ↓, Bracken Serra G. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Muller L. ⚽,
71', Muller L. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
73', Kwende M. ↓, de Flores S. ↑,
76', Djieze J. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Villatoro A. ⚽,
85', Rajagopal R. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
85', Bohane Z. ↓, Boyce W. ↑,
90', Placias J. ↓, Vanney D. ↑,
90+1', Preston E. ↓, Chidebe I. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
San Jose 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, San Jose 2 has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 553:558. (average 276.5:279).
Including home match between the teams, Ventura County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.