Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	San Juan		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	6	3.6	1.57	Watch
	6.82	3.59	1.54
	6.82	3.59	1.55
	4.33	3.1	1.75
	7.02	3.92	1.44
	6	3.6	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.07 ↑ (4.58)	3.54 ↑ (3.1)	1.56 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Juan
15.2%

Draw
26%

Barakaldo
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

28.9%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

28.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barakaldo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Juan - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

San Juan has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barakaldo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Juan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Juan
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.01.24	San Juan - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
17.12.23	Utebo - San Juan	3:2 ✺
09.12.23	Mutilvera - San Juan	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	San Juan - Zaragoza B	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Alavés B - San Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.01.24	Mutilvera - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Barakaldo - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Alavés B - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Barakaldo - Egüés	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Izarra - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.09.23	Barakaldo - San Juan	6:0

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