Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	San Juan		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.85	2.35
	2.8	3	2.55	Watch
	3.08	2.84	2.56
	3.08	2.81	2.56
	2.89	2.9	2.43
	2.55	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.32)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)	2.53 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Juan
31.9%

Draw
31.8%

Barbastro
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

33%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Juan's form might have worsened.

Barbastro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barbastro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Juan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barbastro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Juan - Barbastro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

San Juan has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barbastro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barbastro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Juan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Juan
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.10.23	Athletic Bilbao B - San Juan	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	San Juan - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
14.10.23	Brea - San Juan	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	San Juan - Gernika	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	Badalona Futur - San Juan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Barbastro - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Barbastro - Mutilvera	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Zaragoza B - Barbastro	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Barbastro - Alavés B	3:2 ✺
07.10.23	Egüés - Barbastro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WTWWL

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