Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Barbastro		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.95
	3.8	3.4	1.98	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.95	Watch
	4.1	3.03	1.93
	3.9	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4.25	3.4	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.3)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	1.94 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
23.6%

Draw
28.2%

Ponferradina
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

29.5%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

28.9%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Barbastro - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Biarge I. (G) 17. Balda I. 4. Carbonell F. 10. Crespo A. 9. De Mesa Garrido A. 5. Garcia I. 14. Gasco Carlos 18. Javito 12. Reques J. 15. Soule 7. Val J.	13. Jimenez A. (G) 31. Arias R. 14. Cerda J. 12. Claveria P. 11. Dacosta R. 2. Diez A. 5. Fernandez J. 20. Javi Lancho 3. Jimenez N. 8. Llonch P. 21. Palanca
Substitutes
6. Arnedillo F. 19. Bautista H. 13. Fabrega A. (G) 20. Gonpi O. 8. Kike 26. Macalou N. 2. Perez Oscar 11. Prat M. 22. Ribelles D.	26. Aussi A. 6. Igbekeme J. 15. Leal A. 19. Lopez A. 16. Lozano M. 1. Prieto A. (G) 4. Sibille K.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Barbastro - Mutilvera	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Zaragoza B - Barbastro	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Barbastro - Alavés B	3:2 ✺
07.10.23	Egüés - Barbastro	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Barbastro - Izarra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWWLL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Ponferradina - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Ponferradina - Osasuna B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTTW

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