Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	San Juan de Aragón		Tigres de Álica

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.4	1.39
	7.4	5	1.31
	8.86	5.58	1.26	Watch
	6	5.48	1.37
	6.4	4.7	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↑ (6.87)	5.03 ↑ (4.72)	1.34 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Juan de Aragón
13.1%

Draw
18.2%

Tigres de Álica
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19.3%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

16.1%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Juan de Aragón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tigres de Álica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Juan de Aragón than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres de Álica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Juan de Aragón - Tigres de Álica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 0 - 2, ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, ⚽,
87', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 9).

San Juan de Aragón has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tigres de Álica is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tigres de Álica is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Juan de Aragón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético San Juan de Aragón
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Deportivo Zitácuaro - San Juan de Aragón	3:0 ✺
14.03.25	San Juan de Aragón - Pioneros de Cancún	2:3 penalties ✺
28.02.25	San Juan de Aragón - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:3 ✺
21.02.25	Faraones de Texcoco - San Juan de Aragón	3:0 ✺
14.02.25	San Juan de Aragón - Racing de Veracruz	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tigres de Álica FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Tigres de Álica - Alacranes de Durango	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Leones Negros 2 - Tigres de Álica	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Tigres de Álica - Agricultores de Guasave	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Tigres de Álica - Los Cabos United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.11.24	Tigres de Álica - San Juan de Aragón	5:0

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