Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 18

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Venezuela	Inter
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	6.25	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5.25
	1.72	3.4	5.3	Watch
	1.77	3.42	6.01
	1.8	3.39	5.05	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5.5
	1.73	3.44	5.45	Watch
	1.72	3.4	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	3.41 ↑ (3.32)	5.51 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
54.9%

Draw
27.8%

Barracas Central
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

28.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	19%	9.5%

San Lorenzo - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Lopez L. (G) 37. Baez E. 77. Bustos N. 22. Campi G. 7. Cerutti E. 28. Cuello A. 25. Gomez G. 17. Irala E. 80. Muniain I. (C) 5. Remedi E. 4. Romana J.	1. Ferrario R. (G) 21. Brochero L. 11. Cantero A. 15. Demartini N. 14. Goni G. 5. Herrera R. 6. Insua R. 28. Miloc D. 41. Ruiz J. 13. Sanchez C. 10. Tapia I.
Coaches
Russo M.	Insua R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Cerutti E. 🟨,
29', Demartini N. 🟨,
33', Miloc D. 🟨,
33', Muniain I. 🟨,
44', Herrera R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ruiz J. ↓, Zalazar M. ↑,
46', Tapia I. ↓, Candia J. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Cuello A. ⚽, Cerutti E. (A),
56', Cantero A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
56', Miloc D. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
57', Rosane S. 🟨,
65', Remedi E. 🟨,
70', Cerutti E. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
73', Insua R. 🟨,
75', Muniain I. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
79', Irala E. 🟨,
80', Herrera R. ↓, Juarez A. ↑,
81', Bustos N. ↓, Vombergar A. ↑,
90', Candia J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 25 and 28).

Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barracas Central is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match San Lorenzo is a favorite.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Hernandez G. (Injury) Insaurralde M. (Injury)

There will not play in Barracas Central: Irazoque A. (Injury) Kruger F. (Injury) Moyano S. (Injury) Zalazar M. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.10.24	Godoy Cruz - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	San Lorenzo - Banfield	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Defensa y Justicia - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWTL
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.10.24	Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Central Córdoba - Barracas Central	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Instituto Córdoba - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
16.09.24	Barracas Central - Banfield	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Defensa y Justicia - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.05.23	Barracas Central - San Lorenzo	1:0
03.07.22	Barracas Central - San Lorenzo	2:1

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