The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 46.6%
Draw 30.4%
San Lorenzo 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
31.3%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
30.8%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia's performance.
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Defensa y Justicia - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 71.3% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (G) 28. Loza V. 29. Fernandez D. 21. Martinez D. 3. Roman F. 15. Sosa S. 24. Gutierrez J. 19. Barbona D. 22. Porcel M. 26. Lucco J. 9. Fernandez L. (C)
25. Devecchi J. (C) 2. Arboleda D. 16. Corujo G. 35. Cordoba A. 24. Tripichio N. 15. Cardillo M. 5. Perruzzi I. 6. De Ritis M. 38. Farias F. 9. Cuello A. 29. Auzmendi R.
Substitutes
36. Amade L. (G) 27. Blanco D. 6. Burdin E. 30. Dominguez D. 17. Hausch A. 5. Lopez J. 45. Martinez T. 20. Palavecino N. 7. Perez T. 11. Perrotta T. 16. Portillo A. 32. Roselli N.
62. Alassia G. 20. Altamirano F. (G) 22. Alvarez J. 19. Amor E. 21. del Prete G. 10. Gulli F. 18. Herazo D. 32. Herrera E. 14. Ladstatter A. 42. Lorenzon F. 11. Reali M. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T.
Coaches
Vaccari J.
Insua R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Lucco J. ⚽, Porcel M. (A),
24', Roman F. ↓, Dominguez D. ↑,
36', Cuello A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Martinez D. ⚽, Barbona D. (A),
45+3', 3 - 0, Barbona D. ⚽, Porcel M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perruzzi I. ↓, Gulli F. ↑,
46', Cuello A. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
53', Tripichio N. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
59', Martinez D. 🟨,
65', Gutierrez J. ↓, Perrotta T. ↑,
65', Barbona D. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
66', De Ritis M. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
68', del Prete G. 🟨,
68', Fernandez D. 🟨,
73', Corujo G. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
78', Alvarez J. 🟨,
84', Porcel M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
84', Fernandez L. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 3.
Defensa y Justicia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by San Lorenzo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Defensa y Justicia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Defensa y Justicia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Defensa y Justicia: Banega E.
(Inactive)
Molinas A.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Inactive)
Souto L.
(Back Injury).
Confirmed absences for San Lorenzo: Abrego G.
(Muscle Injury)
Barrios N.
(Knee Injury)
Blanco N.
(Inactive)
Cerutti E.
(Knee Injury)
Hernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
Insaurralde M.
(Red Card)
Rio M.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Defensa y Justicia has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Defensa y Justicia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 4:8 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Argentina
South-america
Usa
World
Watch
#ad
Borgogno M. (G) 
Martinez D. 
Gutierrez J. 
Arboleda D. 
Amor E. 
