Match Info

Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	San Lorenzo		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.72	3.05
	2.76	2.72	2.76	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
	2.71	2.71	2.68
	2.83	2.75	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 (2.66)	2.71 ↓ (3)	2.84 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
34.2%

Draw
33.7%

Cerro Porteño
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 2. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 23. Hernandez G. (C) 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 5. Perruzzi I. 24. Tripichio N. 7. Cerutti E. 20. Gulli F. 11. Reali M. 9. Cuello A.	1. Martin A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 22. Perez M. 15. Riveros B. 11. Iturbe J. 30. Gimenez G. 5. Morel J. 29. Mosquera H. 27. Torres J. 31. Aliseda I.
Substitutes
8. Barrios N. 14. Blanco N. 1. Devecchi J. (G) 18. Herazo D. 19. Insaurralde M. 17. Ladstatter A. 16. Lopez F. 6. Lorenzon F. 22. Montenegro L. 21. Perruzzi F. 15. Rattalino J.	17. Aguayo G. 13. Benitez A. G. 34. De Carvalho M. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 33. Gomez R. 6. Luciatti A. 16. Peralta F. 26. Piris R. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 7. Sonora A. 20. Viera W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Cuello A. 🟥,
6', Perez M. 🟥,
21', Gimenez G. ↓, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↑,
29', Cerutti E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Tripichio N. ↓, Insaurralde M. ↑,
58', Cerutti E. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
58', Reali M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
67', Dominguez F. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
67', Mosquera H. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
67', Torres J. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
71', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
71', Perruzzi I. ↓, Perruzzi F. ↑,
71', Gulli F. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
75', Romana J. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
80', Riveros B. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
80', Morel J. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
81', Iturbe J. ↓, Sonora A. ↑,
81', Velazquez G. ↓, Luciatti A. ↑,
81', Aliseda I. ↓, De Carvalho M. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 0.

San Lorenzo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Serie Rio de la Plata
14.01.26	San Lorenzo - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.11.25	Central Córdoba - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Rosario Central - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTW
- Cerro Porteño
Serie Rio de la Plata
13.01.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Cerro Porteño	4:0 ✺
Paraguayan Super Cup
06.12.25	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	2:5 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.11.25	Atlético Tembetary - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
13.12.20	Cerro Porteño - San Lorenzo	1:1
02.10.20	San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño	1:1
02.08.20	Cerro Porteño - San Lorenzo	4:1
20.10.19	Cerro Porteño - San Lorenzo	2:0
Copa Libertadores
31.07.19	Cerro Porteño - San Lorenzo	2:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.07.19	San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño	2:1
Copa Libertadores
24.07.19	San Lorenzo - Cerro Porteño	0:0

Upcoming Matches