Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3	4.6
	1.92	3.15	4.35	Watch
	1.91	3.18	4.74	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.38	Watch
	1.92	3.15	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.65)	3.21 ↓ (3.62)	4.44 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
49.5%

Draw
29.3%

Atlético Tucumán
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.7%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gill O. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 23. Hernandez G. 37. Baez E. 15. Cecchini E. 5. Irala E. 7. Cerutti E. 10. Muniain I. (C) 21. Braida M. 9. Vombergar A.	12. Gonzalez J. (G) 4. Martinez D. 6. Ferrari G. 33. Brizuela M. 39. Orihuela M. 28. Auzqui C. 5. Sanchez A. 30. Lopez K. 10. Franco N. 37. Coronel M. (C) 29. Cabrera L.
Substitutes
28. Cuello A. 25. Devecchi J. (G) 16. Dominguez N. 36. Herrera D. 19. Insaurralde M. 50. Ladstatter A. 34. Lopez F. 33. Rodriguez Pagano T. 22. Salinardi Branco 24. Tripichio N. 26. Vega J. 51. Zelaya M. A.	8. Acosta G. 9. Bajamich M. 11. Castro N. 3. de los Santos M. 27. Diaz L. 25. Durso T. (G) 24. Godoy L. 23. Lamendola N. 41. Melo R. 13. Ortiz M. 7. Rodriguez L. 22. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Russo M.	Sava F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Martinez D. 🟨,
41', Ferrari G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cecchini E. ↓, Tripichio N. ↑,
52', Brizuela M. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Vombergar A. ⚽, Cerutti E. (A),
62', Franco N. ↓, Lamendola N. ↑,
66', Romana J. 🟨,
68', Auzqui C. ↓, Bajamich M. ↑,
68', Coronel M. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
75', Cerutti E. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
80', Martinez D. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
87', Baez E. ↓, Rodriguez Pagano T. ↑,
88', Orihuela M. 🟨,
88', Tripichio N. 🟨,
90+1', Muniain I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
90+2', Herrera E. 🟨,
90+5', Diaz L. 🟨,
90+5', Cuello A. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Lorenzo is a favorite.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Altamirano F. (Broken Hand) Tripichio N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Inactive) Infante J. (Injury) Tesuri R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Reali M. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.25	San Martín de San Juan - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	San Lorenzo - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
23.03.25	San Lorenzo - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.03.25	Godoy Cruz - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	San Lorenzo - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWTL
- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.04.25	Atlético Tucumán - Instituto Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.04.25	Atlético Tucumán - All Boys	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Platense - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
17.03.25	Atlético Tucumán - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.08.24	San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán	0:1
08.04.23	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	1:3
10.09.22	San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.04.22	San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.10.21	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.12.20	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.11.19	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	2:2

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