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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Riestra 38.4%
Draw 35.6%
San Lorenzo 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
34.4%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
33.8%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.2%
58.8%
0%
Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - San Lorenzo (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 36. Bracamonte M. 22. Paz C. 19. Randazzo J. (C) 13. Gallo R. 14. Monje P. 20. Garcia M. 7. Alonso A. 10. Diaz A. 9. Herrera J.
25. Devecchi J. (G) 32. Herrera E. 4. Romana J. 16. Corujo G. 17. Rodriguez G. 10. Gulli F. 5. Perruzzi I. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 9. Cuello A. 19. Vietto L.
Substitutes
6. Barbieri M. 29. Dramisino A. 32. Flores G. 27. Goitia J. 12. Lopez I. (G) 24. Mino F. 11. Nsumoh J. 40. Obredor G. 28. Sayavedra R. 31. Smarra M. 35. Stringa A. 16. Watson N.
26. Abrego G. 20. Altamirano F. (G) 29. Auzmendi R. 28. Barrios N. 15. Cardillo M. 6. De Ritis M. 18. Herazo D. 8. Insaurralde M. 34. Lopez F. 42. Lorenzon F. 21. Perruzzi F. 11. Reali M.
Coaches
Benitez G.
Alvarez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Arce I. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Alonso A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Monje P. ↓, Barbieri M. ↑,
46', Gallo R. ↓, Watson N. ↑,
53', Alonso A. 🟨,
54', Rodriguez Pagano T. ↓, De Ritis M. ↑,
54', Rodriguez G. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
54', Perruzzi I. ↓, Auzmendi R. ↑,
60', Alonso A. ↓, Goitia J. ↑,
69', Tripichio N. 🟨,
75', Bracamonte M. ↓, Mino F. ↑,
77', Vietto L. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Cuello A. ⚽, Gulli F. (A),
83', Garcia M. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
84', Gulli F. ↓, Abrego G. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Deportivo Riestra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportivo Riestra could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Benegas N.
(Yellow Cards)
Bracamonte M.
(Inactive)
Tovo E.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Injury)
Cerutti E.
(Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Muscle Injury)
Herazo D.
(Inactive)
Hernandez G.
(Inactive)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
Ladstatter A.
(Red Card)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
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Arce I. (G) 
Alonso A. 
Romana J. 
Nsumoh J. 
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