Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
Austria	Laola1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Lorenzo		Unión Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	3	Watch
	2.75	3.00	2.60
	2.55	2.92	3.05	Watch
	2.55	3.04	3.25
	2.44	3.05	3.17
	2.6	2.95	3
	2.48	3.02	3.13	Watch
	2.48	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.7)	2.97 ↑ (2.82)	3.03 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
36.9%

Draw
31.8%

Unión Santa Fe
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

San Lorenzo - Unión Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Devecchi J. (G) 54. Blanco N. 2. Arboleda D. 19. Amor E. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 22. Alvarez J. 5. Perruzzi I. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 11. Reali M. 9. Cuello A. 29. Auzmendi R.	21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 12. Pitton B. 5. Menossi L. 20. Palacios J. 17. Mosqueira J. 10. Malcorra I. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C. (C)
Substitutes
62. Alassia G. 20. Altamirano F. (G) 15. Cardillo M. 35. Cordoba A. 16. Corujo G. 21. del Prete G. 6. De Ritis M. 18. Herazo D. 14. Ladstatter A. 42. Lorenzon F. 13. Rattalino J. 27. Rio M.	31. Aguirre M. 36. Aimar M. 18. Ayala L. 22. Cuello B. 44. Fagioli T. 8. Giaccone E. 46. Grella S. 11. Luna Diale M. 40. Meuli L. (G) 34. Peresutti M. 15. Pintado J. 43. Ramirez E.
Coaches
Gorosito N.	Madelon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Malcorra I. ↓, Luna Diale M. ↑,
20', Menossi L. 🟨,
27', Mosqueira J. ↓, Giaccone E. ↑,
45+2', Auzmendi R. 🟨,
45+2', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vargas L. ↓, Pintado J. ↑,
55', Alvarez J. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Auzmendi R. ⚽,
75', Luduena J. 🟨,
78', Menossi L. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
78', Tarragona C. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
82', Giaccone E. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.

San Lorenzo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in San Lorenzo: Abrego G. (Muscle Injury) Arias N. (Inactive) Barrios N. (Inactive) Cerutti E. (Knee Injury) Gill O. (Red Card) Hernandez G. (Knee Injury) Herrera D. (Knee Injury) Herrera E. (Inactive) Insaurralde M. (Muscle Injury) Montenegro L. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Unión: Gomes Gerth F. (Knee Injury) Solari A. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

San Lorenzo - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Unión Santa Fe - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.26	San Lorenzo - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Central Córdoba - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	San Lorenzo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Lanús - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.07.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Riestra	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL
- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.08.26	Unión Santa Fe - Central Córdoba	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Platense - Unión Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.05.26	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo	0:0
15.06.24	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.02.24	San Lorenzo - Unión Santa Fe	0:0
04.09.23	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.23	San Lorenzo - Unión Santa Fe	1:0
20.07.22	San Lorenzo - Unión Santa Fe	2:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
19.04.22	Unión Santa Fe - San Lorenzo	1:2

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