Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 26Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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San Marcial |
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Yagüe |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.35 |
3.4 |
2.52 |
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2.24 |
3.64 |
2.74 |
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5.68 |
1.31 |
7.19 |
Watch |
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2.3 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
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2.24 |
3.75 |
2.81 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.96 ↑ (2.69) |
3.08 ↓ (3.53) |
3.59 ↑ (2.24) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Marcial 35.9% | Draw 34.5% | Yagüe 29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yagüe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yagüe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.San Marcial - Yagüe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 88', 🟥,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | San Marcial | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Yague | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;