Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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 |
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San Marcial |
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La Calzada |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.1 |
2.52 |
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 |
2.6 |
3.21 |
2.58 |
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2.6 |
3.22 |
2.55 |
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2.6 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
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2.52 |
3.15 |
2.51 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.52) |
3.12 ↓
(3.13) |
2.53 ↓
(2.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Marcial
35.2% | Draw
29% | La Calzada
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)San Marcial - La Calzada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Casado M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 1 - 1, Reinaldo A. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, Viti ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 2, Padilla C. ⚽,
- 90', Oscar 🟥,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.San Marcial may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | CDFC Calzada | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
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| 9 | San Marcial | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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