Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 2

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos (Lima)


	San Marcos		Ayacucho

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.6	4.33
	1.68	3.52	4.4
	1.69	3.65	4.53	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.4
	1.67	3.72	4.39
	1.7	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	3.63 ↑ (3.3)	4.37 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos
54.2%

Draw
25%

Ayacucho
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos's performance.

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

San Marcos - Ayacucho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sandi M. (G) 11. Aguirre W. 2. Estacio M. 81. Ibarguen E. 26. Layza M. 3. Mena J. (C) 10. Munoz J. 17. Rengifo D. 4. Soto J. 9. Vasquez J. 7. Velarde M.	12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 25. Ataupillco J. 11. Barboza S. 24. de la Cruz A. 20. Huayhua C. 9. Peralta S. 10. Rios M. (C) 13. Rodriguez L. 5. Simon C. 6. Tuesta J. 16. Vilchez J.
Substitutes
. Ayala J. 1. Camacho H. (G) 8. Castro F. 25. Franco F. 22. Mesias Silva P. C. 6. Sanchez A. 30. Tuesta J. 16. Vargas C. 19. Velasquez A.	22. Allcca A. 4. Almeida 14. Delgado J. 7. Loayza G. 21. Palomino F. (G) 19. Ruidiaz Y. 23. Zabala L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Ataupillco J. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Aguirre W. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
42', Rios M. 🟨,
42', Soto J. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Aguirre W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', Huayhua C. ↓, Almeida ↑,
62', de la Cruz A. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
62', Rios M. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
66', Aguirre W. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
67', Estacio M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
67', Rengifo D. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Vasquez J. ⚽,
75', Velarde M. ↓, Tuesta J. ↑,
75', Vasquez J. ↓, Franco F. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Almeida ⚽,
78', 4 - 2, Franco F. ⚽,
85', 4 - 3, Ruidiaz Y. ⚽,
87', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches San Marcos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ayacucho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match San Marcos is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
12.08.24	Cantolao - San Marcos	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	San Marcos - Juan Pablo II College	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - San Marcos	2:2 ✺
07.07.24	San Marcos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:2 ✺
28.06.24	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTLW
- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
11.08.24	Ayacucho - Pirata	4:1 ✺
22.07.24	Deportivo Municipal - Ayacucho	Ayacucho awarded ✺
14.07.24	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
03.07.24	Ayacucho - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 W?LLT

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