Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN


	San Marcos		Municipal Jalapa

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.25	2.30
	2.85	3.20	2.10	Watch
	2.78	3.43	2.39	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.20
	2.71	3.38	2.47
	2.70	3.25	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.85)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Marcos
33.2%

Draw
27.5%

Municipal Jalapa
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

24.7%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Municipal Jalapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

San Marcos - Municipal Jalapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', (Penalty Awarded),
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 10).

San Marcos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jalapa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	San Marcos	10	3	1	6	9:16	-7	10
9	Jalapa	10	1	2	7	6:16	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC San Marcos Nicaragua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.09.26	Real Estelí - San Marcos	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	San Marcos - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Rancho Santana - San Marcos	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Matagalpa - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	San Marcos - Managua	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLL
- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.09.26	Municipal Jalapa - Rancho Santana	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Municipal Jalapa - Matagalpa	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	UNAN Managua - Municipal Jalapa	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Upcoming Matches