Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN


	Real Estelí		San Marcos

	1	X	2
	1.12	7.50	14.50
	1.1	6.8	14.5
	1.13	7.52	14.53
	1.14	7.42	16.36	Watch
	1.1	7.25	21
	1.16	7.91	12.7
	1.11	6.8	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.24)	7.31 ↑ (4.9)	15.37 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
81.5%

Draw
12.5%

San Marcos
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

18%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Estelí's performance.

San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Real Estelí - San Marcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Castro M. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Castillo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟥,
75', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

San Marcos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Estelí is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18
6	San Marcos	10	3	1	6	9:16	-7	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
30.08.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	0:5 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	CD Marathón - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
22.08.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
18.08.26	Real Estelí - Herediano	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Real Estelí - Alianza San Miguel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW
- FC San Marcos Nicaragua
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
30.08.26	San Marcos - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Rancho Santana - San Marcos	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Matagalpa - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	San Marcos - Managua	1:4 ✺
26.07.26	Sport Sébaco - San Marcos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLLT

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