Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Dittborn (Arica)


	San Marcos de Arica		Independiente de Cauquenes

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.8	7.25
	1.4	3.55	6.5
	1.37	3.7	7.5
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.43	3.88	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	3.74 (3.74)	7.29 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos de Arica
63.8%

Draw
23.9%

Independiente de Cauquenes
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

24.2%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

28.1%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Independiente de Cauquenes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos de Arica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de Cauquenes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

San Marcos de Arica - Independiente de Cauquenes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match San Marcos de Arica is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marcos de Arica
Chilean Segunda Division
23.07.22	Lautaro de Buin - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
16.07.22	San Marcos de Arica - Real San Joaquín	3:0 ✺
09.07.22	San Antonio Unido - San Marcos de Arica	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	Deportes Valdivia - San Marcos de Arica	2:1 ✺
11.06.22	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Limache	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTLW
- Independiente de Cauquenes
Chilean Segunda Division
24.07.22	Independiente de Cauquenes - General Velásquez	0:1 ✺
19.07.22	Rodelindo Román - Independiente de Cauquenes	1:1 ✺
10.07.22	Independiente de Cauquenes - Deportes Concepción	3:0 ✺
03.07.22	Deportes Limache - Independiente de Cauquenes	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
25.06.22	Independiente de Cauquenes - Ñublense	0:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
24.04.22	Independiente de Cauquenes - San Marcos de Arica	2:1

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