The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 28.9%
Draw 28%
Deportes Limache 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
27.9%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
26.6%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos de Arica's form might have worsened.
Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Limache's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Limache Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Limache will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saracho R. (G) 20. Abalos A. 8. Barrios A. (C) 23. Cazula A. 18. Galleguillos A. 4. Iturra M. 31. Larrondo D. 19. Maidana A. 7. Monroy B. 17. Moya Godoy M. 28. Rivera N.
17. Gonzalez C. (G) 2. Aguirre A. 5. Alfonzo A. 15. Alvarez V. 26. Arturia M. 4. Flores M. 23. Gonzalez Y. 16. Jean David 25. Llanten M. 8. Montecinos J. 21. Moya F.
Substitutes
29. Bravo D. 2. Campos R. 15. Cubillos G. 22. Donadell N. 30. Munoz J. (G) 21. Orrego N. 24. Pereira D. 32. Tudor M. 11. Zedan N.
19. Castro D. 6. Fuentes C. 7. Morales C. 29. Oyarzun F. 24. Parot A. 12. Smith M. (G) 9. Sosa G. 28. Vargas V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Larrondo D. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Jean David ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Maidana A. ⚽,
26', Aguirre A. 🟨,
28', Alfonzo A. 🟨,
30', Monroy B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Larrondo D. ↓, Cubillos G. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Alvarez V. ⚽, Montecinos J. (A),
51', Llanten M. ↓, Fuentes C. ↑,
54', Galleguillos A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
59', Cazula A. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
72', Cubillos G. 🟨,
72', Rivera N. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
72', Maidana A. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
72', Montecinos J. ↓, Parot A. ↑,
72', Arturia M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
72', Moya F. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
72', Alvarez V. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
83', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
90+4', Sosa G. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 3, Jean David ⚽,
Preview
San Marcos de Arica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Limache is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Limache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Limache - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Saracho R. (G) 
Barrios A. (C) 
Alfonzo A. 
Zedan N. 
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