Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Vigor Senigallia		San Marino Calcio

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.32	2.96	Watch
	2.18	3.2	3.03
	2.19	3.3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 (2.19)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	3 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Senigallia
41.7%

Draw
27.9%

San Marino Calcio
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

San Marino Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Vigor Senigallia - San Marino Calcio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, De Feo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, ⚽,
58', 🟥,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vigor Senigallia could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.11.25	L Aquila - Vigor Senigallia	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vigor Senigallia - Termoli	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sammaurese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Fossombrone - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWTW
- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
02.11.25	San Marino Calcio - Chieti	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Giulianova - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	San Marino Calcio - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	UniPomezia - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	San Marino Calcio - Atletico Ascoli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWTL

Vigor Senigallia - San Marino Calcio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide