Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 19

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday


	San Martín de Burzaco		Justo José de Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.85	3
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.4	2.92	3.07
	2.2	2.88	3.3
	2.36	3.04	3	Watch
	2.34	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.61)	2.9 ↑ (2.81)	3.07 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Burzaco
39%

Draw
31.4%

Justo José de Urquiza
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

32.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

33.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

San Martín de Burzaco - Justo José de Urquiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Justo José Urquiza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SM de Burzaco: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Play Offs: Final) and 4).

San Martín de Burzaco is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Justo José de Urquiza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Justo José de Urquiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Martín de Burzaco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Burzaco won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera C
21.05.23	General Lamadrid - San Martín de Burzaco	2:4 ✺
07.05.23	San Martín de Burzaco - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Deportivo Laferrere - San Martín de Burzaco	1:3 ✺
23.04.23	San Martín de Burzaco - Victoriano Arenas	4:2 ✺
18.04.23	Leandro N. Alem - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTWWL
- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
21.05.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Justo José de Urquiza	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Victoriano Arenas	3:0 ✺
02.05.23	Leandro N. Alem - Justo José de Urquiza	0:3 ✺
24.04.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
11.03.18	Justo José de Urquiza - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0
08.10.17	San Martín de Burzaco - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1
18.04.17	Justo José de Urquiza - San Martín de Burzaco	0:3

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