The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Mendoza 52.9%
Draw 27.6%
Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
25.9%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
27.3%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
San Martín de Mendoza - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Abraham F. (G) 4. Pizarro L. 2. Ruiz F. 6. Olivarez S. 3. Rojo M. R. 8. Castro I. 5. Romero S. 10. Mancini V. 11. Riggio A. 7. Rivarola F. 9. Heiz N.
1. Abrahin M. (G) 4. Caro V. 2. Rosales J. 6. Sarmiento T. 3. Pereyra P. 8. Lebus N. 5. Diaz E. 10. Ruiz Sosa M. 11. Sosa E. 7. Lazaneo J. 9. Soda P.
Substitutes
14. Arias A. 18. Carrizo L. 15. Makarte R. 13. Marital J. 17. Mayenfisch G. 12. Rosa N. (G) 16. Simionato I.
13. Astudillo B. 17. Cabrera F. 16. Gonzalez A. 18. Lucero J. 14. Munoz U. 12. Sequeira N. (G) 15. Teixeira R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Sosa E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castro I. ↓, Makarte R. ↑,
46', Riggio A. ↓, Simionato I. ↑,
55', Ruiz Sosa M. ↓, Munoz U. ↑,
55', Lazaneo J. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
70', Rivarola F. ↓, Mayenfisch G. ↑,
70', Pizarro L. ↓, Carrizo L. ↑,
75', Romero S. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
75', Soda P. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
80', Sosa E. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Mendoza won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
SM de Mendoza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, SM de Mendoza is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, SM de Mendoza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, SM de Mendoza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).