Match Info

Primera B - Round 18

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Francisco Boga Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	San Martín de Burzaco		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	2.78	2.45	Watch
	3.08	2.78	2.55
	3.04	2.69	2.54	Watch
	3	2.63	2.5
	2.99	2.73	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	2.72 ↑ (2.68)	2.51 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Burzaco
30.3%

Draw
33.4%

Arsenal Sarandí
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

34.2%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

34.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for San Martín de Burzaco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-1%)

San Martín de Burzaco - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 6. Denis K. 11. Gauna N. A. 4. Lazarev R. 8. Modon S. 2. Orellana D. 5. Peralta R. 3. Siliman A. 10. Treppo E. 7. Velazquez R.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 5. Colletta T. 4. Del Col M. 9. Franco L. 8. Lucero M. 7. Ochoa J. 2. Payes A. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. 10. Sosa M. 11. Vega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Modon S. ⚽,
41', Velazquez R. 🟨,
41', Ochoa J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Chavez B. (Penalty Awarded),
50', Modon S. 🟨,
54', Vega A. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
61', Perez D. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
61', Lucero M. ↓, Kestler I. ↑,
65', Peralta I. 🟨,
66', Colletta T. 🟨,
71', Treppo E. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
76', Sosa M. ↓, Cabral D. ↑,
76', Frascone N. ↓, Schiavulli T. ↑,
79', Chavez B. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
79', Denis K. ↓, Tobon J. ↑,
87', La Roza U. 🟨,
90', Velazquez R. ↓, Escudero M. ↑,
90', Modon S. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal Sarandí - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
27.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Argentino de Merlo - San Martín de Burzaco	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Laferrere - San Martín de Burzaco	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWLWT
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
26.05.26	Deportivo Flandria - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa San Carlos	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Liniers - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Real Pilar	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTTWW

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