Match Info

Primera B - Round 17

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.45	Watch
	1.71	3.45	5.19
	1.71	3.48	4.54	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.67	3.38	4.89
	1.61	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	3.34 ↓ (3.37)	4.78 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
53.8%

Draw
27.2%

Villa San Carlos
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

27.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Arsenal Sarandí - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 2. Brienzo N. 4. Del Col M. 9. Franco L. 8. Lucero M. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 11. Vega A. 5. Vila J.	1. Akimenco T. (G) 5. Acosta A. 3. Canete S. 2. Fabi S. 4. Lloyaiy A. (C) 7. Lugones A. 11. Melillo E. 8. Mussis F. 6. Ojeda F. 9. Pavia K. 10. Zegarra Z.
Substitutes
18. Cabral D. 13. Cabrera I. 16. Frascone N. 19. Kestler I. 17. La Roza U. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 14. Schiavulli T. 15. Serrano V.	16. Alvarez R. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 20. Cairo F. 14. Machin L. 13. Martinez A. 19. Plastino M. 15. Ponton A. 18. Salinas R. 17. Villagra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Del Col M. 🟨,
23', Ojeda F. 🟨,
27', Franco L. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Melillo E. ⚽,
45+3', Zegarra Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Acosta A. 🟨,
52', Peralta I. 🟨,
55', Zegarra Z. ↓, Cairo F. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Pavia K. ⚽,
57', Vila J. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
68', Pavia K. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
68', Sosa M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
68', Vega A. ↓, Kestler I. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Franco L. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, La Roza U. ⚽,
76', Peralta I. ↓, Cabrera I. ↑,
77', Mussis F. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
77', Fabi S. ↓, Machin L. ↑,
80', Lugones A. 🟨,
90+2', Trombini M. 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional and 20).

Arsenal Sarandí is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villa San Carlos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Arsenal Sarandí is the team to beat.

We predict that Arsenal Sarandí will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37:39	-2	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
16.05.26	Liniers - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Real Pilar	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWTW
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
16.05.26	Villa San Carlos - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Laferrere	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Villa San Carlos	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Armenio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLW

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