The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Italiano 40.3%
Draw 33.9%
San Martín de Burzaco 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
30%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
29.5%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
66.7%
22.2%
Sportivo Italiano - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sportivo Italiano will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 8. Centurion F. 2. Durante P. 3. Fantino L. 7. Gimenez K. 10. Gomez F. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 5. Rivero J.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 6. Denis K. 11. Gauna N. A. 4. Lazarev R. 8. Modon S. 2. Orellana D. 5. Peralta R. 3. Siliman A. 10. Treppo E. 7. Velazquez R.
Substitutes
12. Alastra A. (G) 19. Cabrera A. 15. Daivez A. 16. De Cuadro J. 13. Di Massimo F. 17. Fortino R. 20. Landaburu M. 14. Ordonez C. 18. Zurita A.
16. Diaz R. 14. Escudero M. 12. Jadli D. (G) 15. Lezcano L. 19. Selpa E. 20. Serpa I. 13. Tobon J. 17. Torres A. 18. Zagert E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Denis K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Velazquez R. ⚽,
58', Treppo E. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
63', Centurion F. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
63', Gomez F. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
63', Gimenez K. ↓, De Cuadro J. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Durante P. ⚽,
73', Chavez B. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
73', Denis K. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
76', Siliman A. 🟨,
82', Fantino L. ↓, Daivez A. ↑,
85', Velazquez R. ↓, Selpa E. ↑,
86', Fortino R. 🟨,
90+1', Laborda L. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Rivero J. ↓, Landaburu M. ↑,
90+2', Peralta R. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Serpa I. ⚽,
Preview
Federation decision.
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 1.
Sportivo Italiano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
SM de Burzaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sportivo Italiano could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.43%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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