Match Info

Primera B - Round 9

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Defensores Unidos		Villa San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.82	3.35	Watch
	2.23	2.92	3.6
	2.25	2.69	3.6	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.4
	2.25	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.1)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)	3.48 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
41.2%

Draw
32.4%

Villa San Carlos
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Defensores Unidos - Villa San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 10. Gimenez M. (C) 7. Girard T. 2. Lopez J. 9. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 11. Patroni S. 5. Redondo K. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello H.	1. Bangardino P. (G) 5. Acosta A. 3. Canete S. 11. Farias F. 7. Lugones A. 2. Machin L. 8. Mussis F. 6. Ojeda F. 10. Pavia K. 4. Ponton A. 9. Salinas R. (C)
Substitutes
14. Baigorria A. 20. Castro L. 18. D'Andrea F. 15. Gomez Zenon 19. Herrera S. 13. Lorenzo A. 16. Ortigoza M. 12. Salerno F. (G) 17. Sombra A.	14. Almeida A. 19. Almiron M. 15. Cairo F. 16. Flores S. 13. Garraza M. 12. Gonzalez L. 18. Plastino M. 20. Villagra J. 17. Zabala F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
34', Lugones A. 🟨,
42', Machin L. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Canete S. ↓, Cairo F. ↑,
56', Pavia K. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
63', Alarcon M. N. 🟨,
69', Acosta A. ↓, Garraza M. ↑,
69', Ponton A. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
73', Mussis F. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
75', Villagra J. 🟥,
77', Girard T. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
77', Tello H. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
77', Lopez M. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
83', Patroni S. 🟨,
84', Mussis F. ↓, Almiron M. ↑,
84', Patroni S. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
88', Gimenez M. ↓, Gomez Z. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Defensores Unidos could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Villa San Carlos	38	11	14	13	37:39	-2	47
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41

Last Results with these Odds

Villa San Carlos - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.55%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
29.03.26	Liniers - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Defensores Unidos - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	UAI Urquiza - Defensores Unidos	2:2 ✺
04.03.26	Excursionistas - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Defensores Unidos - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTLT
- CA Villa San Carlos
Argentinian Primera B
28.03.26	Villa San Carlos - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Villa San Carlos	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Villa San Carlos - Deportivo Merlo	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa San Carlos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
06.11.22	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	0:0
30.10.22	Defensores Unidos - Villa San Carlos	2:1
20.08.22	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	1:0
23.04.22	Defensores Unidos - Villa San Carlos	1:1
13.09.21	Defensores Unidos - Villa San Carlos	1:2
02.05.21	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	1:0
15.03.20	Villa San Carlos - Defensores Unidos	2:1

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