Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 18

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)


	Costa Brava		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.10	5.00
	1.62	3.25	5.10
	1.65	3.06	5.62
	1.73	3.22	5.57	Watch
	1.62	3.00	5.55
	1.61	3.56	6.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.79)	3.2 ↑ (3)	5.48 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
55%

Draw
28.4%

Deportivo Rincón
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

29.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

28.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Costa Brava - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Rossi J. ⚽,
70', 🟨,

Preview

Costa Brava is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Rincón is Torneo Federal (Losers stage )

Costa Brava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rincón is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rincón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Costa Brava is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Costa Brava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Costa Brava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Costa Brava - San Martín de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Atenas Río Cuarto - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Costa Brava - Cipolletti	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWT
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.07.26	Deportivo Rincón - Huracán Las Heras	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Rincón - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Cipolletti - Deportivo Rincón	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Rincón - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	1:0
14.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	2:0

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