The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de San Juan 33.1%
Draw 31.8%
Belgrano 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
33.8%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
33.3%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de San Juan's form might have worsened.
Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de San Juan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
38.5%
53.8%
San Martín de San Juan - Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Belgrano will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Molina A. 2. Caseres R. 26. Lopes H. 3. Alvarez L. 27. Fernandez T. 5. Pelaitay N. (C) 22. Jaurena S. 28. Iacobellis M. 32. Anselmo F. 15. Cavallaro J.
25. Espinola J. (G) 34. Heredia G. 37. Troilo M. 6. Grillo F. 13. Meriano N. 5. Longo S. 23. Quignon F. 22. Fernandez N. 10. Zelarayan G. (C) 7. Reyna B. 9. Passerini L.
Substitutes
12. Bonansea F. (G) 7. Casa M. 30. Diarte L. 19. Escalante L. T. 9. Gonzalez F. 10. Gonzalez S. 37. Menendez J. 23. Olguin G. 24. Pernia E. 16. Portillo A. 6. Recalde L. 21. Watson N.
8. Compagnucci G. 17. Cravero T. 24. Dattola A. . Gonzalez F. 51. Hernandes R. 29. Jara F. 2. Leguizamon A. 32. Mavilla J. 15. Menossi L. 33. Ostchega T. 12. Sanchez U. 40. Vicentini M. (G)
Coaches
Antuna R.
Zielinski R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Heredia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Cavallaro J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
46', Heredia G. ↓, Compagnucci G. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽, Zelarayan L. (A),
53', 1 - 1, Fernandez T. ⚽, Lopes H. (A),
55', 2 - 1, Iacobellis M. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
58', Passerini L. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
58', Meriano N. ↓, Ostchega T. ↑,
58', Quignon F. ↓, Menossi L. ↑,
62', Fernandez T. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
62', Jaurena S. ↓, Watson N. ↑,
68', Reyna B. 🟨,
70', Reyna B. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
75', Pelaitay N. 🟨,
78', Watson N. 🟨,
80', Anselmo F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
86', Iacobellis M. 🟨,
86', Iacobellis M. ↓, Recalde L. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Martín won 0.
San Martín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in San Martín: Casa M.
(Inactive)
Escalante L. T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A.
(Injury)
Jara F.
(Injury)
Lucco J.
(Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in San Martín: Burgos E.
(Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches San Martín won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.7:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).