Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra (Cordoba)

Referee: Zamora D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Belgrano		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	9
	1.48	3.65	8.7
	1.48	3.97	9.13
	1.47	3.92	8.65	Watch
	1.44	3.6	8.5
	1.5	3.88	8.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.71)	3.82 ↑ (3.38)	8.76 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano
64.5%

Draw
24.7%

Aldosivi
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

27.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belgrano's performance.

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldosivi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldosivi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Belgrano - Aldosivi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Belgrano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Belgrano will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belgrano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 14. Morales L. 17. Lopez L. 16. Ricca F. 24. Rigoni E. 20. Vazquez F. 21. Sanchez A. 53. Velazquez J. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 22. Fernandez N. 37. Gutierrez L.	1. Werner A. (C) 4. Gonzalez R. 28. Moya S. 6. Novillo J. 3. Roman F. 55. Garcia M. 32. Leys F. 16. Morello M. 7. Guzman N. 9. Arias J. 22. De La Vega F.
Substitutes
28. Daniele M. (G) 45. Falcon A. 11. Gonzalez F. 51. Hernandes R. 5. Longo S. 2. Maldonado A. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Ocampo A. 9. Passerini L. 3. Sporle A. 15. Tulian R. 30. Zelarayan G.	5. Bochi R. 25. Breitenbruch N. 80. Chavez L. 23. Chicco I. (G) 19. Cordero N. 2. Enrique G. 27. Fernandez T. 21. Iniguez E. 20. Marquez De Meneses R. L. 11. Palavecino A. 40. Salinas J. 30. Villarreal A.
Coaches
Zielinski R.	Damonte I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Zelarayan L. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
41', Velazquez J. ↓, Sporle A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guzman N. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
51', Rigoni E. 🟥,
51', Werner A. 🟨,
56', Garcia M. 🟨,
57', Leys F. ↓, Cordero N. ↑,
57', Fernandez N. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
60', Garcia M. ↓, Marquez De Meneses R. L. ↑,
61', De La Vega F. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
68', Arias J. 🟨,
72', Palavecino A. 🟨,
77', Lopez L. ↓, Maldonado A. ↑,
77', Vazquez F. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
78', Fernandez T. 🟨,
86', Morello M. ↓, Villarreal A. ↑,
90+3', Roman F. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

In recent matches, Belgrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aldosivi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Belgrano is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Belgrano: Benitez Cabrera A. J. (Yellow Cards) Lopez L. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Aldosivi: Enrique G. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Inactive) Gino F. (Yellow Cards) Guzman N. (Inactive) Moyano S. (Knee Injury) Rolon E. (Yellow Cards) Zalazar N. (Red Card)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.26	River Plate - Belgrano	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.03.26	Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.03.26	Belgrano - Racing	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTW
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.04.26	Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.25	Aldosivi - Belgrano	0:0
11.02.25	Belgrano - Aldosivi	2:0
24.09.18	Aldosivi - Belgrano	2:0
14.10.16	Belgrano - Aldosivi	0:0
16.03.15	Belgrano - Aldosivi	0:1

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