Match Info

Date: 12 September 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (San Miguel de Tucumán)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)


	San Martín de Tucumán		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	5.25
	1.75	2.9	5.5
	1.83	2.75	5.4
	1.87	2.85	4.7
	1.95	2.83	5.52
	1.88	2.75	4.8
	1.86	2.83	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.24)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)	5.16 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
49.7%

Draw
32.4%

Belgrano
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

33.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

34.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Tucumán's performance.

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Tucumán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34%	54.7%	11.3%

San Martín de Tucumán - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 18 - 34%). Belgrano will win (votes: 6 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 54.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.3% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches San Martín de Tucumán is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belgrano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Martín de Tucumán is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Martín de Tucumán won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Tucumán won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.09.22	Deportivo Riestra - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	4:0 ✺
20.08.22	All Boys - San Martín de Tucumán	2:2 ✺
14.08.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
06.08.22	San Telmo - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTL
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.09.22	Belgrano - Tristán Suárez	4:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
31.08.22	Godoy Cruz - Belgrano	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.08.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
24.08.22	Quilmes - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
19.08.22	Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Belgrano	0:0
08.05.21	Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.19	San Martín de Tucumán - Belgrano	0:0

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