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Current Win Probability
Quilmes 35.5%
Draw 32.6%
Belgrano 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
33.8%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
33.6%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24.4%
55.6%
20%
Quilmes - Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 11 - 24.4%). Belgrano will win (votes: 9 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 70.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 1.
Quilmes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Belgrano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Watch
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