Match Info

Date: 24 August 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)


	Quilmes		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.87
	2.55	2.8	2.87
	2.55	2.7	3
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.79	2.79	3.06
	2.6	2.75	2.88
	2.48	2.95	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.74)	2.83 ↑ (2.72)	2.9 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
35.5%

Draw
32.6%

Belgrano
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

33.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

33.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.4%	55.6%	20%

Quilmes - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 11 - 24.4%). Belgrano will win (votes: 9 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 70.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 1.

Quilmes is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Belgrano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.22	Temperley - Quilmes	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.22	Quilmes - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.08.22	Quilmes - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
08.08.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Quilmes	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
04.08.22	Rosario Central - Quilmes	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWLW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.08.22	Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Sacachispas - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Belgrano - Mitre	1:3 ✺
01.08.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Belgrano	2:0 ✺
27.07.22	Belgrano - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.11.21	Belgrano - Quilmes	0:1
19.07.21	Quilmes - Belgrano	2:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.10.16	Belgrano - Quilmes	0:0
30.04.16	Belgrano - Quilmes	2:2
13.04.15	Belgrano - Quilmes	2:1
11.10.14	Belgrano - Quilmes	1:1
01.04.14	Quilmes - Belgrano	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.11.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes	✺
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.26	Belgrano - Barracas Central	✺

Quilmes - Belgrano