Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 25

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (Tucuman)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Martín de Tucumán		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	1.86	2.85	5.25	Watch
	1.87	2.95	4.50
	1.85	2.82	4.8	Watch
	1.98	3.01	4.82
	1.91	2.98	4.86	Watch
	1.93	2.95	4.75
	1.89	2.88	4.5
	1.86	2.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.92)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	4.79 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
48.9%

Draw
31.8%

Deportivo Madryn
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

31.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

33.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 9. Arfaras L. 11. Cabrera B. 10. Carabajal G. 3. Gallardo N. 2. Galvan A. 8. Graneros A. 4. Juarez J. 6. Parnisari E. 5. Rodriguez L. 7. Veliez A.	1. Bonnin Y. (G) 6. Corvalan C. 4. Cosi J. 3. Diarte L. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 7. Marinucci L. 8. Meli M. 5. Recalde F. 11. Servetto N. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N.
Substitutes
17. Castro N. 19. Cisnero A. 18. Garcia M. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 15. Monroy G. 14. Paz A. 13. Rodriguez G. 16. Salazar V. 20. Veron M.	18. Bersano F. 15. Dionisio A. 13. Gutierrez A. 17. Jara E. 19. Machado C. 16. Martinez D. 12. Montagna E. 14. Ortiz N. D. 20. Peinipil J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Diarte L. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Cabrera B. ⚽, Carabajal G. (A),
25', Graneros A. 🟨,
36', Juarez J. 🟥,
39', Veliez A. ↓, Salazar V. ↑,
45+4', Meli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Recalde F. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
46', Graneros A. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
46', Arfaras L. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Cabrera B. ⚽, Carabajal G. (A),
63', Marinucci L. ↓, Peinipil J. ↑,
63', Cosi J. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
63', Diarte L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
68', Cabrera B. ↓, Cisnero A. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Corvalan C. ⚽, Meli M. (A),
83', Carabajal G. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Silba L. ⚽,
88', Machado C. 🟨,
90+2', Garcia M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

San Martin T may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, San Martin T is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, San Martin T won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.08.26	San Martín de Tucumán - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Nueva Chicago - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Temperley	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLTW
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.08.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Madryn	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Madryn - All Boys	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Los Andes - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
05.07.26	Deportivo Madryn - Colón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.26	Deportivo Madryn - San Martín de Tucumán	1:1
10.08.25	Deportivo Madryn - San Martín de Tucumán	3:1
06.04.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Madryn	0:0
26.02.22	Deportivo Madryn - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2

Upcoming Matches