Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 20

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (San Miguel de Tucumán)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)


	San Martín de Tucumán		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.6
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.79	3.38	5.14
	1.75	3	5
	1.8	3.3	5.05
	1.8	3.25	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.11)	3.2 ↑ (2.99)	4.82 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
51.9%

Draw
28.9%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Tucumán's performance.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes de Río Cuarto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Tucumán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	10.3%	6.9%

San Martín de Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: San Martín de Tucumán will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 4. Quilez I. 2. Orellana J. 6. Meritello F. 3. Banegas N. 7. Molinas I. A. 5. Abregu G. (C) 8. Bucca L. 10. Andrada B. 9. Veron M. 11. Dening E.	1. Petroli F. (G) 4. Flores L. 2. Zurbriggen S. (C) 6. Lopez F. 3. Castet F. 5. Leyes N. 8. Cainelli N. 11. Valiente M. 9. Bajamich M. 10. Talpone N. 7. Reynaga R.
Substitutes
13. Bazzana N. 14. Brunet N. 20. Colazo A. 17. Martinez E. 19. Morena N. 18. Nunez G. 16. Prokop A. 15. Sansotre N. 12. Tinaglini F. (G)	19. Alvarez F. 16. Correa T. 17. Fenoglio V. 14. Pavon A. 12. Peralta A. (G) 15. Quinteros E. 13. Romero F. 18. Rosales M. 20. Villalba G.
Coaches
Frontini P.	Vazquez M.

Preview

San Martín de Tucumán is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Estudiantes de Río Cuarto is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match San Martín de Tucumán is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's San Martín de Tucumán to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Martín de Tucumán won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Tucumán won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.06.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano	3:1 ✺
27.05.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Güemes - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.06.23	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
26.05.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - All Boys	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
16.05.23	Atlético Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.05.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.02.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1
04.03.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0
11.10.21	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0
16.06.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1

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