Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 19

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (San Miguel de Tucumán)

Referee: Ejarque E. (Arg)


	San Martín de Tucumán		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.95	2.95	4.1
	1.9	2.75	4.8
	2.03	2.98	4.58
	1.91	2.88	4.33
	1.95	3.15	4.4
	1.97	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.82)	2.99 ↓ (3.01)	4.39 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
47.6%

Draw
31.2%

Defensores de Belgrano
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

30.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

29.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 4. Quilez I. 2. Orellana J. 6. Meritello F. 3. Banegas N. 7. Martinez E. 5. Abregu G. 8. Bucca L. 10. Andrada B. 9. Colazo A. 11. Dening E.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Levi M. 2. De Tomasso J. 6. Moreira R. 3. Torres D. 8. Salto C. 5. Gutierrez I. 10. Formica M. 11. Chavez F. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Benegas N. (C)
Substitutes
13. Bazzana N. 14. Brunet N. 12. Carrizo N. (G) 17. Molinas I. A. 20. Morena N. 18. Nunez G. 16. Prokop A. 15. Sansotre N. 19. Veron M.	19. Arias M. 14. Bonacorso E. 15. Diaz L. 18. Edjo'o D. 17. Machado C. 13. Medaglia E. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 16. Rumbolo R. 20. Vila L.
Coaches
Frontini P.	Mayor C.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

San Martín de Tucumán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Martín de Tucumán is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Martín de Tucumán won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Tucumán won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.05.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Güemes - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWL
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.05.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
22.05.23	All Boys - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.05.23	Platense - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.04.23	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.10.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3
06.06.22	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0
06.12.20	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1
06.10.19	San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0

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