Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	San Roque de Lepe		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.87	2.2
	3.4	3	2.2	Watch
	3.61	2.98	2.31
	3.61	2.82	2.24
	3.42	2.88	2.17
	3.3	2.95	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.75)	2.92 ↓ (3.18)	2.22 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
27%

Draw
31.5%

Sevilla B
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.5%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

28%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 3.

San Roque de Lepe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sevilla B is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sevilla B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Roque de Lepe have a series of home games.

Sevilla B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches San Roque de Lepe won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams San Roque de Lepe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Racing Cartagena MM - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Linense	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Girona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLTL
- Sevilla B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.11.23	Sevilla B - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Linense - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Sevilla B - Cadiz CF B	5:0 ✺
29.10.23	Estepona - Sevilla B	0:4 ✺
22.10.23	Sevilla B - Manchego	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.02.23	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	1:0
18.09.22	Sevilla B - San Roque de Lepe	1:2
Club Friendly
28.07.21	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	0:0
14.08.18	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	2:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.03.16	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	2:0
08.11.15	Sevilla B - San Roque de Lepe	1:1
17.01.15	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	1:0

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