Match Info

Date: 27 May 2022, Friday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.2	2.4
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.35	3.6	2.55
	2.6	3.1	2.49
	2.66	3.61	2.43
	2.45	3.25	2.62
	2.62	3.46	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.27)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	2.48 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
35.9%

Draw
27.3%

Athletic Bilbao B
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

San Sebastian Reyes - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. SS Reyes will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Athletic Bilbao B will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic Bilbao B: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.05.22	Tudelano - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
13.05.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
01.05.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Valladolid B	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	DUX Internacional de Madrid - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTT
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.05.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
15.05.22	Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
08.05.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Calahorra	1:3 ✺
30.04.22	Badajoz - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Athletic Bilbao B - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.12.21	Athletic Bilbao B - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.02.17	San Sebastian Reyes - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
09.10.16	Athletic Bilbao B - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0

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