Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ferrol		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	1.95	3.05	4.05
	2.05	3.24	3.66	Watch
	2	2.9	3.6
	2.03	3.12	3.9
	2.05	3.1	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	3.07 ↓ (3.24)	3.67 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
45.4%

Draw
29.8%

Athletic Bilbao B
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

30.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 3. Pujol E. 15. Zalaya A. 17. Ramon A. 8. Gorostidi A. 5. Noriega J. 18. Concha D. 24. Garcia A. 10. Pascu 20. Gimenez A. (C)	13. Santos M. (G) 15. Alday I. 4. Dunabeitia A. 3. De Luis J. 12. Barandalla M. 18. Garcia E. 8. Lete E. 23. Gift E. 10. Sanchez I. 22. Perez A. 9. Sanz I.
Substitutes
12. Chema 25. Diaz L. (G) 9. Escobar A. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 16. Garcia S. 6. Gelardo A. 22. Mardones A. 26. Tenreiro J.	5. Ebro Cortina E. 1. Gamen E. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 7. Hierro A. 17. Huestamendia P. 2. Irurita X. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 19. Louis-Jean J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Miguel 🟨,
58', Concha D. ↓, Mardones A. ↑,
58', Garcia A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Sanchez I. ⚽,
74', Ramon A. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
77', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
86', Gorostidi A. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
87', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+1', Gelardo A. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ferrol is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ath Bilbao B	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.01.26	Pontevedra - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Real Avilés - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cacereño - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Ferrol - Huesca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.01.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Mérida AD - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.05.22	Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
05.09.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Ferrol	2:2

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