Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Ceuta		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	5.75
	1.52	3.8	5.25
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.59	4.17	5.4
	1.6	4.17	5.03
	1.57	3.91	5.34
	1.59	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)	3.89 ↑ (3.71)	5.32 ↓ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
59%

Draw
23.7%

Linares Deportivo
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

24.6%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.4%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Ceuta - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 20. Danese F. 5. Lolo Gonzalez 21. Lopez J. 8. Melendez A. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 9. Rodri 3. Rodriguez C. 22. Teguia C. 12. Uche C.	13. Casado S. (G) 20. Buyla J. 21. Llorente R. 12. Marin A. 4. Molina M. 6. Moreno A. 18. Perejon D. 5. Rentero J. 8. Rodri (C) 3. Varela F. 9. Vazquez A.
Substitutes
18. El Ftouhi S. 11. Garcia P. 23. Gonzalez N. 10. Iglesias J. 14. Rico M. 19. Romera D. 24. Stopajnik T. (G)	11. Berlanga M. 7. Diaz H. 27. Fernandez I. 28. Guzman G. 1. Juskevicius E. (G) 23. Panadero G. 29. Zaki

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', Rentero J. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Rodri ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Rodri ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Buyla J. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
56', Lopez J. ↓, Doncel C. ↑,
62', Vazquez A. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
72', Rodriguez C. ↓, Iglesias J. ↑,
72', Teguia C. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Iglesias J. ⚽,
79', Ahmed A. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
79', Melendez A. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ceuta in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Linares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Linares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ceuta to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceuta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.04.24	Málaga - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Ceuta - Algeciras	3:2 ✺
24.03.24	Ibiza - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Ceuta - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Granada B - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWWWW
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.04.24	Linares Deportivo - Antequera	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Málaga - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Algeciras - Linares Deportivo	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Linares Deportivo - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.10.23	Linares Deportivo - Ceuta	2:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.03.23	Ceuta - Linares Deportivo	2:0
11.12.22	Linares Deportivo - Ceuta	2:2

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