Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)


	Leonesa		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.68	3.25	4.75
	1.8	3.45	4.56
	1.8	3.3	4.65
	1.77	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.07)	3.32 ↑ (3)	4.4 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
51.8%

Draw
27.5%

Algeciras
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

27.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Algeciras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 15).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Algeciras is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Algeciras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.02.23	Pontevedra - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Leonesa - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Ceuta - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Leonesa - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTLW
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.02.23	Algeciras - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
04.02.23	Talavera de la Reina - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Algeciras - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Algeciras - Linares Deportivo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.09.22	Algeciras - Leonesa	0:1

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