Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 8

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5
	1.57	3.6	6	Watch
	1.59	3.62	5.77
	1.6	3.62	5.77
	1.55	3.54	5.75
	1.7	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)	3.51 ↑ (3.14)	5.5 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
57.2%

Draw
26.1%

Llerenense
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.9%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Sebastian Reyes's performance.

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llerenense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Sebastian Reyes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

San Sebastian Reyes - Llerenense Predictions

Users Predictions: San Sebastian Reyes will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

SS Reyes is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llerenense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match SS Reyes is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.10.23	Montijo - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Cacereño - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
20.09.23	CD Guadalajara - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWTW
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.10.23	Llerenense - Mensajero	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Getafe B - Llerenense	4:1 ✺
01.10.23	Llerenense - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Navalcarnero - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Llerenense - Numancia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL

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