Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.9	2.87
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.45	2.85	2.85
	2.33	2.95	2.9
	2.45	3.01	3.09
	2.28	3.04	3.08
	2.35	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.75)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	2.95 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
38.4%

Draw
30.8%

Mérida AD
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

27.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Sebastian Reyes's form might have worsened.

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mérida AD's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mérida AD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Sebastian Reyes - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 11).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Mérida AD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SS Reyes will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.22	Deportivo A Coruña - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Linense - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Córdoba - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LTWWW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.10.22	Mérida AD - Algeciras	3:3 ✺
23.10.22	San Fernando - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Mérida AD - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Celta de Vigo B - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWTTW

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