Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	San Sebastian Reyes		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.55
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.45	2.95	2.75
	2.09	3	3.15
	2.81	3.02	2.7
	2.69	3.08	2.65
	2.5	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.27)	3.01 ↑ (2.88)	2.7 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
35.9%

Draw
30.3%

San Fernando
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Fernando's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Fernando, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Sebastian Reyes - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

SS Reyes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SS Reyes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.01.23	Mérida AD - San Sebastian Reyes	1:3 ✺
21.01.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes	3:0 ✺
08.01.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.01.23	San Fernando - Deportivo A Coruña	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Mérida AD - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Rayo Majadahonda - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	San Fernando - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
17.12.22	Talavera de la Reina - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.09.22	San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1

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