The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferrol 59.9%
Draw 24.9%
San Sebastian Reyes 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
30.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
20.8%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.
San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-25.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Sebastian Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ferrol - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 2.
Ferrol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
SS Reyes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
SS Reyes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ferrol is certain favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.