Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)


	Leonesa		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.8
	1.87	3.2	3.7
	1.95	3.15	4
	1.89	3.1	3.85
	1.93	3.26	4.29
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.89	3.32	3.8
	1.9	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.22)	3.17 ↑ (2.88)	3.89 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
47.7%

Draw
28.8%

San Sebastian Reyes
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	10.5%	15.8%

Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). SS Reyes will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SS Reyes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SS Reyes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leonesa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.12.22	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Leonesa - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWTWT
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.12.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Fuenlabrada	0:1 ✺
08.12.22	Ceuta - San Sebastian Reyes	3:1 ✺
04.12.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Talavera de la Reina	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Algeciras - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.04.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	0:3
20.11.21	Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.05.19	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	1:2
22.12.18	Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0

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