The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Telmo 24.8%
Draw 32.3%
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
29.6%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
29.2%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Telmo's form might have worsened.
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Telmo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
50%
28.6%
San Telmo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Morro N. 3. Ojeda L. 4. Dell Aquila N. 8. Tello F. 5. Yangali J. 10. Aguirre F. 7. Porto J. 9. Cocimano S. 11. Zurbriggen J.
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 4. Cortez I. 2. Mondino D. (C) 6. Gonzales 3. Recalde M. 7. Esposito G. 5. Antonio I. 8. Munoz M. 11. Lencioni F. 10. Puch J. 9. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
20. Astina M. 16. Britez E. 19. Compagnucci M. 18. Curcio N. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 17. Larthirigoyen I. 14. Sosa R. 15. Uriburu R.
16. Andrada B. 18. Antonini F. 14. Barboza N. 17. Cingolani L. 20. Galeano M. 13. Nadalin F. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 19. Servetto N. 15. Ubeda M.
Coaches
Monasterio C.
Medran E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Ferreyra B. 🟨,
35', Munoz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Puch J. ↓, Cingolani L. ↑,
55', Esposito G. ↓, Andrada B. ↑,
62', Tello F. ↓, Uriburu R. ↑,
65', Yangali J. 🟨,
70', Zurbriggen J. ↓, Compagnucci M. ↑,
71', Ferreyra B. ↓, Servetto N. ↑,
78', Munoz M. ↓, Antonini F. ↑,
78', Lencioni F. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
81', Antonio I. 🟨,
87', Aguirre F. ↓, Astina M. ↑,
87', Porto J. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
90+3', Astina M. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
San Telmo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Gimnasia Mendoza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
San Telmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Gimnasia Mendoza will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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