Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)


	San Telmo		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.5
	2.2	2.95	3.25
	2.3	2.95	3.3
	2.31	3.07	3.43
	2.27	2.97	3.47	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.28	2.9	3.39	Watch
	2.26	2.9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.39)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	3.4 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
41.2%

Draw
31.5%

Aldosivi
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

32.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

San Telmo - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Carranza J. (G)
	10. Alonso A.
	9. Colazo A.
	8. Esponda M.
	3. Godoy F.
	4. Gonzalez R.
	11. Lamendola N.
	6. Mottes G.
	5. Sills J.
	7. Sosa A.
	2. Soto G.
Coaches
	. Yllana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Ramirez G. 🟨,
15', Sosa A. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Colazo A. (Pen),
41', 0 - 2, Sosa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tisera F. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
47', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
62', Alonso A. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
68', Lamendola N. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
68', Sosa A. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,
72', Barreto J. ↓, Mayenfisch G. ↑,
73', Gonzalez R. ↓, Cosi J. ↑,
74', Vallejos M. 🟨,
79', Lamosa A. 🟨,
82', Larthirigoyen I. ↓, Maza J. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Diellos D. ⚽,
89', Pineiro G. ↓, Iniguez E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches San Telmo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldosivi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Telmo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Telmo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.24	Temperley - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	San Telmo - Deportivo Morón	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Nueva Chicago - San Telmo	0:3 ✺
07.07.24	San Telmo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Telmo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTWTW
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.24	Aldosivi - Colón	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Almirante Brown - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Aldosivi - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Defensores Unidos - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

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