Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Central Norte		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.65	3.3	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.42	2.72	3.15	Watch
	2.52	2.91	3.46
	2.57	2.56	3.47	Watch
	2.45	2.63	3.25
	2.4	2.69	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.36)	2.71 ↑ (2.66)	3.28 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
37.7%

Draw
34.1%

Deportivo Madryn
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

35.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

37.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Central Norte - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vazquez E. (G) 3. Aleo A. 9. Borda F. 2. Calderon E. 4. Lamosa A. 8. Mancuso G. 10. Mateo J. 7. Moravec M. 6. Padilla M. 5. Ribero M. 11. Sanz P.	1. Bonnin Y. (G) 3. Ayala R. 5. Calleros Y. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 8. Meli M. 11. Montagna E. 6. Ortiz N. D. 7. Servetto N. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N. 4. Sosa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Moravec M. ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Montagna E. ⚽, Ortiz N. D. (A),
35', Lamosa A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Silba L. ⚽, Ayala R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 2, Ribero M. ⚽,
57', Aleo A. 🟨,
58', Moravec M. 🟨,
59', Calleros Y. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
62', Moravec M. ↓, Taobas T. ↑,
62', Mateo J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
67', 🟨,
67', Meli M. ↓, Barrientos N. ↑,
67', Montagna E. ↓, Cuero M. ↑,
70', Sosa A. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
70', Servetto N. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Barrientos N. ⚽, Ortiz N. D. (A),
85', Mancuso G. ↓, Alvez G. ↑,
85', Sanz P. ↓, Vaquero J. ↑,
85', Lamosa A. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
90', Taobas T. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Central Norte has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportivo Madryn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Madryn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Central Norte will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Central Norte - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.58%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Central Norte - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Central Norte - Mitre	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLTL
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.26	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWLWW

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