Match Info

Division 2 - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Ojca Władysława Augustynka (Nowy Sącz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Sandecja Nowy Sącz		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.35	2.58
	2.44	3.36	2.6
	2.27	3.51	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.71	Watch
	2.31	3.2	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.37)	3.3 (3.3)	2.68 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
38.6%

Draw
27.5%

Warta Poznań
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

29%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Warta Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Jelen M. (G) 29. Brenkus A. 9. Klos W. 27. Kubista V. 98. Ogorzaly K. 25. Piszczek F. 3. Plesnierowicz W. 74. Skalecki P. 24. Slaby K. (C) 11. Talar K. 77. Zietek L.	42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 20. Dziedzic K. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 2. Lepczynski K. 13. Niedzielski J. 99. Smoczynski M. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 74. Zalewski S.
Substitutes
47. Blyszko W. 28. Cwielong K. 33. Kasprzak B. 19. Kolbon T. 92. Orzel A. 99. Oure S. 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 12. Tokarz K. (G) 7. Wolsztynski R.	35. Jakubowski F. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 29. Rychert K. . Rychlik J. 9. Stanek M. . Steblecki S. . Tonder F. 7. Walus F. . Wojciechowski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
21', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Klos W. ↓, Kolbon T. ↑,
56', Kubista V. ↓, Pietraszkiewicz D. ↑,
66', Brenkus A. ↓, Oure S. ↑,
66', Piszczek F. ↓, Wolsztynski R. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Wolsztynski R. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Wojcinowicz T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandecja won 3.

Recent performances by Sandecja have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Warta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Warta has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sandecja won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandecja won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Warta Poznań - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 2
21.10.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	KKS Kalisz - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Unia Skierniewice	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWLW
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
17.10.25	Warta Poznań - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Warta Poznań - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
19.10.22	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Warta Poznań	2:1
Polish Division 1
21.06.20	Warta Poznań - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:0
21.09.19	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Warta Poznań	1:2
30.03.19	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Warta Poznań	2:1
08.09.18	Warta Poznań - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:3
25.05.13	Warta Poznań - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:2

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