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Current Win Probability
Warta Poznań 36%
Draw 28.5%
Olimpia Grudziądz 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
27.3%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
28.1%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Poznań's form might have worsened.
Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Olimpia (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 21. Avdeev D. 8. Kumoch K. 2. Lepczynski K. 13. Niedzielski J. 29. Rychert K. 99. Smoczynski M. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K. 7. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T.
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 44. Frelek D. 18. Jarzec K. 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
20. Dziedzic K. 35. Jakubowski F. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) . Rychlik J. 9. Stanek M. . Steblecki S. . Tonder F. . Wojciechowski I. 74. Zalewski S.
33. Budchan E. (G) 16. Fietz K. 3. Klimczak A. 11. Krocz S. 13. Moneta L. 69. Pawlowski M. 42. Zablonski P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
35', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Rychert K. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Sewerzynski O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Mas M. ⚽,
61', Rychert K. ↓, Zalewski S. ↑,
61', Walus F. ↓, Dziedzic K. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Zalewski S. ⚽,
74', Lepczynski K. 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Lepczynski K. ⚽,
90+4', Czajka B. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).
Warta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Olimpia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Warta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Warta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Poland
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Przybylak L. (G) 
Avdeev D. 
Budchan E. (G) 
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